Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000693 0.000794 0.000901 0.001023 0.001157 0.001300 0.001464
2025-02-16 0.000523 0.000661 0.000818 0.001009 0.001232 0.001485 0.001790
2025-02-23 0.000444 0.000599 0.000784 0.001019 0.001305 0.001639 0.002056
2025-03-02 0.000383 0.000549 0.000755 0.001027 0.001370 0.001782 0.002309
2025-03-09 0.000320 0.000486 0.000702 0.000996 0.001379 0.001851 0.002470
2025-03-16 0.000269 0.000433 0.000655 0.000966 0.001382 0.001909 0.002614
2025-03-23 0.000237 0.000401 0.000631 0.000964 0.001420 0.002009 0.002811
2025-03-30 0.000211 0.000374 0.000611 0.000964 0.001458 0.002108 0.003007
2025-04-06 0.000185 0.000346 0.000587 0.000954 0.001481 0.002187 0.003178
2025-04-13 0.000161 0.000317 0.000558 0.000937 0.001490 0.002245 0.003321
2025-04-20 0.000150 0.000307 0.000558 0.000959 0.001556 0.002380 0.003570
2025-04-27 0.000138 0.000295 0.000552 0.000973 0.001610 0.002501 0.003801
2025-05-04 0.000120 0.000272 0.000527 0.000956 0.001618 0.002559 0.003948
2025-05-11 0.000104 0.000248 0.000501 0.000935 0.001618 0.002605 0.004080
2025-05-18 0.000096 0.000238 0.000495 0.000946 0.001667 0.002721 0.004313
2025-05-25 0.000087 0.000228 0.000488 0.000954 0.001710 0.002829 0.004535
2025-06-01 0.000075 0.000207 0.000460 0.000925 0.001695 0.002850 0.004633
2025-06-08 0.000063 0.000187 0.000433 0.000896 0.001677 0.002867 0.004722
2025-06-15 0.000057 0.000177 0.000422 0.000894 0.001703 0.002948 0.004908
2025-06-22 0.000051 0.000167 0.000413 0.000894 0.001731 0.003032 0.005099
2025-06-29 0.000045 0.000157 0.000399 0.000885 0.001743 0.003094 0.005258
2025-07-06 0.000039 0.000144 0.000382 0.000868 0.001742 0.003132 0.005381
2025-07-13 0.000037 0.000142 0.000385 0.000889 0.001804 0.003272 0.005661